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Tampa Bay’s September 2026 Housing Market: Three Counties, Three Trends

November 10, 2026
Tampa Bay waterfront homes and varied suburban neighborhoods in September
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September’s single-family housing figures show a Tampa Bay market moving at different speeds. Pinellas had fewer listings and a higher median sale price than a year earlier, while Hillsborough prices edged down and Pasco buyers saw more supply. The county-level data offer useful context, but a home’s competition and characteristics matter when making decisions.

Key takeaways

  • Pinellas had the tightest conditions of the three counties, with 3.7 months of supply and a 36-day median time to contract.
  • Hillsborough’s median sale price slipped 1.3% year over year, while active listings declined 3.6%.
  • Pasco supply rose to 4.3 months, giving buyers more options than a year earlier.
  • The figures cover single-family homes only—not condominiums or townhomes—and describe September activity.

A county-by-county snapshot

According to September 2026 reports released October 16, Hillsborough recorded a median sale price of $419,450, down 1.3% from September 2025. It had 4,708 active listings, 4.0 months of supply and a 40-day median time to contract.

Pinellas posted a $465,000 median sale price, up 9.4% year over year. Active listings fell 14.2% to 3,129; supply was 3.7 months, and the median time to contract was 36 days. In Pasco, the median price was $370,000, essentially unchanged year over year. Active listings increased 1.1% to 3,258, supply reached 4.3 months, and median time to contract was 48 days.

What the numbers may mean for sellers

The county trends point to different competitive conditions, but a countywide median cannot determine the right asking price for a particular property. In Hillsborough and Pasco, sellers may need to weigh their home carefully against current alternatives. Pinellas’s higher median reflects the homes that sold; it does not mean every property rose in value by the same amount.

For homes in areas such as South Tampa, property-specific details—including condition, location, lot features and architecture—can shape which sales are useful comparisons. Recent nearby sales, active listings and price histories provide more relevant context than a broad county figure alone.

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What buyers should consider

Buyers can use the statistics to frame questions about a specific home: how long it has been on the market, what comparable properties are available, and how its condition and features compare. The data suggest more supply in Pasco than a year earlier and tighter conditions in Pinellas, but negotiating opportunities depend on the individual property, competing homes, offer terms and timing.

Reading the market data

Months of supply estimates how long it would take to sell the available inventory at the current pace of sales. Median time to contract measures how long sold homes took to go under contract; it is not the full period from listing through closing. The figures are single-family statistics produced using MLS data and should not be treated as a description of November activity or as a forecast.

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