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Florida Real Estate Market

Hillsborough Property Values Plateau: Assessments Poised for Stability

November 4, 2025
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Hillsborough County is experiencing a stabilization in residential property values, signaling minimal changes expected in property assessments for 2025. This trend, driven by factors such as high interest rates and increased insurance costs, suggests local governments may not see the substantial property tax revenue increases of recent years. The Property Appraiser’s office emphasizes its role in accurately assessing market conditions, not in setting or collecting taxes.

Key Takeaways

  • Residential property values in Hillsborough County have stabilized.
  • Significant increases in property assessments for 2025 are not anticipated.
  • Local governments may face reduced reliance on property tax revenue growth.
  • Factors contributing to the cooling market include high interest rates, rising insurance costs, and storm-related damage.
  • The Property Appraiser’s office is responsible for assessment based on market data, not tax collection.

Understanding Property Assessments

Hillsborough County Property Appraiser Bob Henriquez has indicated that recent sales data points to a plateau in residential property values across the Tampa Bay area. Consequently, property assessments for 2025 are expected to remain largely unchanged. This shift means that local governments, which have benefited from significant property tax revenue increases in prior years, may need to adjust their financial planning.

Several economic and environmental factors are contributing to this cooling of the residential property market. High interest rates have made purchasing homes more expensive, while escalating insurance costs and concerns over hurricane damage and future storms have also played a role. These influences are not exclusive to residential properties, as commercial real estate has also felt their impact.

The Role of the Property Appraiser

Henriquez clarified the statutory responsibilities of the Property Appraiser’s office, noting that it is solely responsible for assessing property values based on objective market conditions and actual sales data. The office does not set tax rates or collect taxes. This distinction is crucial, as many residents mistakenly believe the appraiser’s office is responsible for increasing or collecting their property taxes.

Impact on Homeowners

For many homeowners, particularly those with homestead exemptions who have resided in their homes for several years, the impact on their tax bills might be less dramatic than anticipated. Florida’s "Save Our Homes" amendment limits the annual increase in taxable value for homesteaded properties to the lesser of 3 percent or the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This means that even if a property’s market value decreases, its taxable value could still rise by the maximum allowable percentage, potentially leading to a continued, albeit smaller, tax increase.

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Looking Ahead

While the Property Appraiser cannot directly advise taxing authorities, Henriquez, as a taxpayer and long-term resident, suggested that local governments consider adopting the rollback rate for property taxes. This rate ensures that property tax revenues do not exceed the previous year’s collections, offering a measure of relief to property owners while still supporting essential government services.

Property owners in Hillsborough County will receive their Notice of Proposed Property Taxes (TRIM notice) in mid-August. The Property Appraiser’s office encourages residents to contact them with any questions regarding their assessments or exemptions and reminds them of the available processes for administrative review and appeals.

Sources

  • Property Values Stabilize: Little Change Expected In Assessments, Osprey Observer.

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